Brazil Keeps Booming
While European economies continue to churn and China takes a timeout, Brazil is on fire, boasting the largest growth of any major economy for the first quarter of 2010, a whopping 9%. And while Brazil still has large numbers of its citizens living in poverty, the middle class is growing by leaps and bounds, now representing 49% of the population.
The Brazilian government is involved in the economy either as partial owner of some companies or as a strict regulator. This public/private mix seems to work well.
Brazil is currently undergoing a credit revolution, but since banks here have tight government controls, the boom in credit is unlikely to give way to a bubble/crisis. Brazil’s credit growth and the burgeoning of the middle class mean that certain types of stocks are likely to do well. Some worth watching are:
Ambev (ABV) Brazil’s only bottler of Pepsi (PEP) and of beer brands that combined have garnered 70% of the Brazilian market. This stock has Investor’s Business Daily’s highest rating in its category and is currently extended and has a 3.6% yield.
Banco Bradesco (BBD) This bank has underperformed recently but has investments in insurance and in IT.
CPL Energia (CPL) This utilities stock has just pulled back from a new high, is a “group leader” according to Investor’s Business Daily and has a 7% yield.
Gafisa (GFA) The homebuilding company is currently 30% below its 52-day high, but has begun picking up steam and is just above its 50-day moving average. With government support and the demand for more homes, it has potential.
Itau Unibanco Holding (ITUB): A premier Brazilian bank, it is currently 18% below its 52-week high.
Note: This is not a recommendation to buy any of the above investments. Do your own due diligence.
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